This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse this site you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Find out more here.

About this blog

M&M’s Blog goes behind the headlines to offer a running commentary on the business dynamics within the international media and marketing industry. The M&M editorial team joins forces with industry experts and local market heroes to balance a bird’s eye view of global trends with the importance of local insight.

RSS feed Subscribe to blog feed

Go Back

Technology

  • RIM will get a boost but not salvation from BB10

    29 January 2013

    Two major factors have worked against RIM in the past two years: companies are no longer buying the majority of smartphones sold today, and individuals overwhelmingly choose devices other than BlackBerries when they make buying decisions. Both of these have depressed sales for RIM’s devices, and neither is going away. The first of these phenomena is unstoppable, and we expect a significant increase in employee-led rather than IT department-led smartphone buying. Our recent surveys suggest that even when employees aren’t choosing the device, they expect the replacement for their current BlackBerry to be an iPhone or an Android device. The second trend could be stopped in theory, but RIM does not seem to be focusing on this approach in BB10.

    As part of our research for a newly published profile on RIM’s smart device strategy, it became clear to us that RIM’s intention for BlackBerry 10 is to be “the best BlackBerry for BlackBerry users” rather than something that will necessarily win converts from other platforms. The points of differentiation RIM has focused on in teasers for the new platform confirm this – better multitasking, productivity, email, contacts and calendar applications and so on, rather than a better gaming, content consumption or social networking experience.

    We can’t fault RIM for wanting to hold onto its 80 million existing subscribers. While exact figures aren’t available, our analysis suggests that RIM has always sold about half its devices to new customers and half to existing customers upgrading to a better phone. For much of the last two years, the portion bought by upgrading customers has significantly outweighed the portion bought by converts, and this makes it all the more important for RIM to retain existing subscribers.

    We believe that much of the installed base in mature markets has delayed upgrading while BlackBerry 10 is pending, something that has unfortunately dragged on for far too long, thus lengthening the upgrade cycle and depressing results in the interim. If BB10 delivers, it should produce a nice fillip in RIM’s results in the first two quarters of 2013 at least as this pent up demand finally meets supply.

    Longer term, RIM will return to its recent patterns of decline

    Despite the brief bump RIM will see from the launch of BB10, we expect its decline to continue longer term. At its peak, RIM shipped between 12 and 15 million devices per quarter, but there is no way it can hit this number on a sustainable basis once the BB10 launch filters through. Though the new platform should have significant appeal to existing users, we don’t expect it to win significant numbers of converts from other platforms. There is little in the new platform that suggests it will have the compelling apps, content stores, or the broader ecosystem that consumers have come to expect in a competitive smartphone platform.

    There are bright spots in emerging markets, where BlackBerry devices have become a middle-class status symbol as they once were in mature markets. But these devices are low-priced and based on BB10’s predecessor BB7, which is destined for the scrap heap in the medium term. As developers shift their focus to BB10, it will be harder and harder for RIM to maintain the appeal of the older platform in these markets, especially since it is unlikely to release new hardware running BB7. BB10, meanwhile, requires high-end specs that will be impossible to deliver at such price points in the near future. Therefore, the current popularity of BlackBerry in emerging markets is likely to be short-lived, especially as Android based alternatives begin to flood the market at even lower prices.

    In all, RIM continues to face the twin demons of consumer-driven buying power and a chronic inability to appeal to mature market consumers. There is nothing in what we’ve seen so far of BB10 that suggests it will conquer the second of these demons, and the first is utterly out of RIM’s control. We don’t expect a speedy exit from the market; with no debt, 80 million subscribers and profitability in the black in at least some recent quarters, the company can continue in this vein for years. But its glory days are past, and it is only a matter of time before it reaches a natural end.

    By Jan Dawson, chief telecoms analyst, Ovum

    Related Stories:

    Blackberry to make Super Bowl XLVII debut
    Blackberry rebrands app store ahead of BB10 launch

    Comments (0) | Permalink

    Posted by: Bloggers' Gallery

    Tags: Mobile, Technology, Advertising

  • The Hyper Individual

    25 January 2013

    I have been interested in consumer empowerment for a long time – the idea that the balance of power has been slowly shifting from companies to consumers. Technology has of course been a huge driver, as tools emerge that allow consumers to see their electricity expenditure, compare prices, track their health and home energy use– and make the best decisions (or even automate the decision making process) based on this information.

    We’ve been tracking a number of trends that have charted the rise and rise of consumer empowerment – more on those later – but we’ve recently begun to see evidence of the emergence of a new breed of consumer: the Hyper Individual. This is not just the consumer who gets the best from their money and time, or the multi-tasker searching for a good deal. This is the confluence of many trends - the consumer who lives in the cloud and who, through the adoption of these new skills, has become one very powerful, super-charged consumer who recognises the value of freely available information and uses it to regain control in the marketplace.

    So let’s look at the genesis of this trend. Firstly, a behaviour psychologists call Maximising – in consumption terms, this means we try to make the best decisions with our money. It’s not hard to see how modern technology can help us achieve this as it gives us access to so much information about almost any product, service or purchase: price comparison websites, consumer reviews and access to all manner of detailed information means that we have never been better able to make informed choices in almost any market – as long as we have the time and know-how (and an internet connection).

    There is a huge benefit to maximising, especially when it comes to high-value purchases like holidays, cars and home technology. Often, however, maximising is a poor decision-making strategy as you can spend endless hours comparing specifications and prices. Rationality becomes irrational!

    This is where our second trend comes in: The End of Inefficiency. This is the rise of the smart algorithm and websites, apps and services which can mine data and suggest the best choice to us – in other words, leaving the maximising to the machine. There is a lot of interest in these kinds of services - recent Future Foundation research found that 70% British respondents claim to be interested in a real-time online price monitoring service that alerted them the moment the price of a product fell and 62% in a service that would move money automatically between savings accounts to make sure you got the best interest rate.

    There’s obviously the privacy issue to consider – a suspicion of companies keeping our personal data safe and a growing awareness of our digital (and mobile) footprints. But our research has often found that many people are happy for companies to collect their personal data in return for some tangible benefit– better prices, deals, smarter, tailored recommendations.

    As the decade progresses, more and more services will be able to capture data on our behaviour and use smart algorithms to make recommendations. For example, a bike that monitors performance and sends information to an online account; a TV that analyses viewing habits and alerts you to other programmes you might want to watch; a fridge that scans supermarket items, warns you when they’re approaching their use-by dates and suggests recipes to use them up; a cosmetics store that can detect skin tone and recommend the best colours. Some of these services already exist but have yet to hit the mainstream. This is the Amazon “Recommendations for you” or Apple “Genius” writ large.

    The third trend is The Quantified Self. We can track and quantify so many aspects of our lives now, whether through technology (fitness trackers) or legislation (food labelling). With the right app, service or device it’s never been easier to track our personal finances, home energy use, media consumption, calorific intake or miles walked.

    So the Hyper Indivual trend is about people learning and applying new methods of choice, efficiency, self-monitoring, data tracking and information-gathering in their everyday lives. And with the proliferation of on-the-go devices offering greater access than ever to the world around us; with modern time pressures inviting us to lead a more streamlined life, with the boring stuff automated; with an increasingly local outlook, using tools to find resources and discover deals, shops and restaurants wherever we are – well, we can all be a little bit Hyper.  

    By Richard Nicholls, The Future Foundation

    Comments (0) | Permalink

    Posted by: Bloggers' Gallery

    Tags: Technology, Consumer insight

  • CES 2013: what’s big and what’s next?

    11 January 2013

    Samsung with its bendy screens, paper tablets, a Luminae glass keyboard, eight-core chips, 3D printers, 4K TVs and the YotaPhone (not a Star Wars pun but rather a smartphone that doubles as an e-reader when flipped over) – just a few of the latest technologies being unveiled at this year’s Consumer Electronics Show (CES), which took place from January 8-11 in Las Vegas.

    Smart technology

    Gadgets and apps certainly took centre stage this year, with vendors from across the globe coming together in Vegas to showcase their latest offerings. With gadgets for the home, in the office, in the car – well pretty much everywhere you can think of – it’s clear that technology is becoming bigger and better than ever.

    While Microsoft may have announced last year that it was pulling out of what is the biggest show of its kind and no longer giving the historic Microsoft opening keynote address, yet its chief executive Steve Ballmer somehow still managed to steal the show, making a surprise appearance on stage during Qualcomm chief executive Paul Jacobs’ presentation, to preach the virtues of Windows 8 and Windows Phone.

    Former US President Bill Clinton also took to the stage with Samsung to discuss the power of the internet, in which he stated that “technology can help overcome challenges that are not even economic”. He also highlighted how impressed he was with technology and how it is affecting our lives, urging the world not to take technology for granted.

    If there’s one thing to come out of CES 2013, it’s that the future looks bright and the future looks big! It will be interesting to see which of these latest technologies and trends will be the next big thing to take the tech world by storm.

    Comments (0) | Permalink

    Posted by: Jenni Baker

    Tags: Tablet, Technology, exhibitions, TV

  • Simon Cowell – the newest VC on the block?

    03 October 2012

    Simon Cowell has his fingers in a lot of pies on both sides of the Atlantic but when I heard the latest word on the grapevine about his tie-up with popular musician Will.i.am, I actually wasn’t surprised...

    Not content with the successes of music/talent shows Pop Idol, The X Factor, Britain’s Got Talent and American Idol, Cowell and Will.i.am are now on the lookout for the next big tech entrepreneur to follow in the footsteps of tech royalty Steve Jobs (R.I.P), Bill Gates and Mark Zuckerberg.

    Speaking to British newspaper The Sun, Will.i.am confirmed that plans are underway. “We’re working on a project called X Factor for tech – and it’s going to be out of this world,” he said. “Singing and performance create a couple of jobs. But this will create lots. It’s about getting in touch with youth and giving them a platform to express themselves – whether that’s in science or mathematics.”

    I can understand Will.i.am’s ties on the tech scene – well he is the director of creative innovation for Intel, after all. Oh and didn’t he also recently produce the first song to be transmitted from Mars to Earth? That I can understand. I’m not quite so convinced by Cowell’s influence in technology and innovation, however with The X Factor now reaching 40 territories across the globe (as announced at MIPTV in Cannes earlier this year), he certainly has the power to give young, budding tech entrepreneurs the platform they need to get into the spotlight.

    Can Simon Cowell really replace the tried and tested venture capitalists that are usually the source of funding for up and coming tech companies?

    It will be interesting to see where this project goes...

    Comments (0) | Permalink

    Posted by: Jenni Baker

    Tags: Technology

  • Social business: an infographic

    20 January 2012

    Social business is one of the big business buzzwords of 2012 but how many people actually know what it means?

     

    This explanatory infographic shows all the routes business has travelled in order to become more social. Yes, it’s about social media but it’s also about values, customers, collaboration, involvement and engagement.

     

    We define social business as the creation of shared value for everybody in a business value chain, including the customer and the communities they live in, online or offline. Social business has evolved from multiple sources and is taking business in a new direction. From the development of micro-finance to today’s customer ecosystems, shared value and social business is all about empowering people and creating a more collaborative human-centred business environment.

     

    The technology stream

    A strong tradition running through social business and dating back to the free software movement and then open source is the idea of contribution. Making a contribution to the ecosystem you work within. That tradition has also helped build the web into a giant, free collaborative resource.

     

    The marketing stream

    Another strong tradition begins with multi-level marketing and loyalty programs. The web has enhanced the capacity of smart firms to build loyalty by engaging more deeply with customers and by interacting in more equal terms.

     

    The social stream

    Finally there is the tradition of social itself beginning with the micro-finance initiatives that were designed to replace development aid in what used to be called the third world. That tradition has informed open innovation, the large mobile ecosystems that flourished first in Kenya, and then crowdsourcing.

     

    The Global Dawn social business infographic shows social business is a complex movement with deep roots and is anything but a fad:

     

    Andy Hewitt, director of propositons, Global Dawn

    Comments (0) | Permalink

    Posted by: Bloggers' Gallery

    Tags: Social business, Social, Technology, Marketing